Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 3.680402 3.984410 4.316440 4.708760 5.163324 5.678056 6.311777
2025-11-30 3.236450 3.636856 4.103074 4.695524 5.442923 6.376084 7.667174
2025-12-07 2.913605 3.340091 3.854360 4.535587 5.439963 6.641436 8.441770
2025-12-14 2.658479 3.091720 3.627633 4.359957 5.371302 6.783751 9.048585
2025-12-21 2.523337 2.975685 3.549391 4.358182 5.521513 7.235453 10.201647
2025-12-28 2.398718 2.860741 3.458797 4.324120 5.612901 7.603920 11.304524
2026-01-04 2.250245 2.703543 3.298266 4.173908 5.509561 7.643141 11.822645
2026-01-11 2.167026 2.626847 3.240085 4.162605 5.612574 8.030797 13.115198
2026-01-18 2.125647 2.602904 3.251446 4.251817 5.881347 8.747354 15.356135
2026-01-25 2.250892 2.813928 3.609357 4.903565 7.185592 11.734950 25.132823
2026-02-01 2.117388 2.653001 3.412927 4.656804 6.870300 11.350759 24.985596
2026-02-08 1.987504 2.492455 3.210077 4.387475 6.490261 10.772444 23.977452
2026-02-15 1.932685 2.445601 3.187148 4.433794 6.746469 11.772803 29.793633
2026-02-22 1.865573 2.378416 3.130591 4.421620 6.897421 12.607069 36.453688
2026-03-01 1.774798 2.271192 3.004533 4.276613 6.758383 12.666215 39.632841
2026-03-08 1.687939 2.165951 2.875882 4.116964 6.569390 12.549268 41.857592
2026-03-15 1.642903 2.120733 2.838641 4.115350 6.711242 13.399764 52.575049
2026-03-22 1.595100 2.069019 2.787813 4.084344 6.784711 14.085420 65.080072
2026-03-29 1.528732 1.986580 2.683504 3.947436 6.604577 13.926949 69.134722
2026-04-05 1.492353 1.948366 2.648878 3.937122 6.711614 14.754736 90.714796
2026-04-12 1.476178 1.940234 2.662622 4.018480 7.046152 16.547496 156.543926
2026-04-19 1.549805 2.074865 2.922860 4.609868 8.808313 26.020877 NaN
2026-04-26 1.480912 1.980947 2.787142 4.386567 8.345873 24.346510 NaN